On a 12-month view, 4.3%. But more important than a spuriously precise ‘right’ answer are the frameworks for thinking about benchmark costs of money.

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A recession over the next 12 months seems probable. But historically how bad have recessions really been for equity investors?

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Actually, the first unmanned aircraft was developed by the British in 1916, after the start of the first world war. Although the early technology showed some ...

This is not a predict the US election outcome piece. Instead, some heuristics on how markets behave in and around prior votes. More boring perhaps, but hopefully less divisive.

2024. A bad year for beta. Bonds to outperform equities, but neither will return more than low single digits. Risk parity over 60/40. More alternatives. Careful of gap risk.

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If history is any guide, at this juncture bonds may be a more attractive proposition than equities, at least in the short term.

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Up Down Arrow ; UNICODE. ↕ ; HEX CODE. ↕ ; HTML CODE. ↕ ; HTML ENTITY. \2195 ...

The inverse link between real rates and the equity multiple. The same for gold. The positive correlation between credit conditions and real GDP growth. All these relationships have recently broken. Re-coupling would require some big moves. Will old flames be rekindled?

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Sam Altman thinks ChatGPT can increase productivity by 20%. We discuss how we monitor productivity ahead of the official data. Economy-wide, there’s not yet much to see.

Buy the S&P 500 Index. Hold it. Forget it. That’s one approach. An admittedly self-interested, active manager takes the other side.

Built to last. From the high-impact polymer device housing the long-life replaceable battery providing approx. 500 5-second firing, the X2 is designed to be ...

Acids (and alkalis) can be described as 'strong' or 'weak', and as 'concentrated' or 'dilute'. Classifying acid solutions.

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FTC Takes Action Against IntelliVision Technologies for Deceptive Claims About its Facial Recognition Software ... The Federal Trade Commission is taking action ...

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The inflation surge ended in June 2022. Asset class performance was similar to past such periods. Want to know what typically happens next? Read on!

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Do regimes exist in reality or just in hindsight? Can one reliably profit from correctly identifying them and if so how?

The PUP (PALS Universal Platform) provides a rigid mount interface to PALS/MOLLE webbing, belts, pack straps, just about anything.

2023116 — The horizontal width of space available for the safe use of an errant vehicle, which consists of the verge area and is measured from the ...

How much pain have you experienced? How much do you think you could endure? How painful have your worst investing experiences been? How can you best prepare yourself for the pain that financial markets will, undoubtedly, inflict upon you?