This is not a predict the US election outcome piece. Instead, some heuristics on how markets behave in and around prior votes. More boring perhaps, but hopefully less divisive.

Fall HazardSign

If history is any guide, at this juncture bonds may be a more attractive proposition than equities, at least in the short term.

The inverse link between real rates and the equity multiple. The same for gold. The positive correlation between credit conditions and real GDP growth. All these relationships have recently broken. Re-coupling would require some big moves. Will old flames be rekindled?

Close to Montréal, you can find the tourist regions of Lanaudière, the Laurentians, Eastern Townships, Laval and Montérégie.

Wet FloorSign

Emergency Assembly Points (EAPs) are designated areas on campus, which are to be used in the case of emergency situations. They are intended to provide a safe ...

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CautionSign

A Leadership Development Program is a structured initiative designed to enhance leadership skills and capabilities among individuals within an organization. It ...

SlipperySign

Jun 20, 2024 — Minnesotan law enforcement flew their drones without a warrant 4,326 times in 2023, racking up a state-wide expense of over $1 million. This ...

The inflation surge ended in June 2022. Asset class performance was similar to past such periods. Want to know what typically happens next? Read on!

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Some studies suggest that body-worn cameras may offer benefits while others show either no impact or possible negative effects.

by N Kazmi · 2016 · Cited by 20 — The pseudo-code of these three optimisation methods are provided in S1 File. ... Another subset of nine PS (Subset 2; Optimisation 2 and Features Discovery ...

Tripping HazardSign

How much pain have you experienced? How much do you think you could endure? How painful have your worst investing experiences been? How can you best prepare yourself for the pain that financial markets will, undoubtedly, inflict upon you?

2024. A bad year for beta. Bonds to outperform equities, but neither will return more than low single digits. Risk parity over 60/40. More alternatives. Careful of gap risk.

Electrical HazardSign

Trip hazardsignprintable

On a 12-month view, 4.3%. But more important than a spuriously precise ‘right’ answer are the frameworks for thinking about benchmark costs of money.

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Do regimes exist in reality or just in hindsight? Can one reliably profit from correctly identifying them and if so how?

Tripsign

Sam Altman thinks ChatGPT can increase productivity by 20%. We discuss how we monitor productivity ahead of the official data. Economy-wide, there’s not yet much to see.

A recession over the next 12 months seems probable. But historically how bad have recessions really been for equity investors?

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Feb 1, 2022 — At a junction you should give way to pedestrians crossing or waiting to cross a road into which or from which you are turning. From January ...

Bottled gas is a term used for substances which are gaseous at standard temperature and pressure (STP) and have been compressed and stored in carbon steel

Buy the S&P 500 Index. Hold it. Forget it. That’s one approach. An admittedly self-interested, active manager takes the other side.

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